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Update: Crawford and Causey Campaigns Respond to Poll

ARRA News Service – Update 8/23/10 to Prior Story: Arkansas 1st Congressional District: Crawford Leads Causey By 16 Points

Comments From the Crawford Campaign:

Crawford stated “I am thrilled that my message of standing up to Barack Obama, Nancy Pelosi and the Washington insiders is gaining more traction every day. This poll is proof that the voters want a leader in Congress who won’t yield to the liberals and special interests. While I am excited to continue to lead in the polls, I am focused on the only poll that really matters; that’s the one on November 2nd. My campaign will continue to work day and night as we head into the final months of this campaign.”

Crawford’s Campaign Manager Jonah Shumate added, “Rick is the only person in this race that won’t cast his first vote in Congress for Nancy Pelosi and who consistently stands up for the views of the people of the first district. These polls show the people of Arkansas want a leader who isn’t afraid to stand up for our values. Chad Causey is having a lot of trouble being straight with Arkansas voters about where he stands on the issues and that is a clear contrast with Rick’s willingness to take the bull by the horns”.

We noted that in its response to the poll which were conducted in part by Dr. Jay Barth who is also a member of the Arkansas Democrat Party Executive Committee, the Causey campaign issued a sophomoric statement not on issues or evidencing a desire to improve their messaging but instead presented a list of Obama Chicago style styled attacks titled: “Facts about Rick Crawford that do not resonate with Arkansans.” The polls are showing Crawford is already resonating with the public. The first item is really going to tick off a lot of veterans in Arkansas; it reads: “He [Rick Crawford] graduated high school in New Hampshire.”

Yes, Crawford did graduate form a High School in New Hampshire. Why, because his Father was in the Air Force and was stationed at that time in New Hampshire. In fairness, we also noted that Rick Crawford was absent from Arkansas for many other years while serving in the US Army as an EOD specialist.

Could not find a record of Chad Causey serving his country. He has predominantly worked most of his post-teen life as a staffer for Rep. Marion Berry. Thus, he too has also been absent from Arkansas — living in Washington, D.C. area. As a democratic staffer, he has associated with and supported the liberal elitists like Nancy Pelosi, Harry Reid and Barack Obama. While checking Causey’s credentials online, the following tidbit was noted:  Causey has made numerous trips paid for by “foreign sources.” Maybe this is to be expected for a staffer. But the following trip by Causey was most interesting: From 05/24/08 to 06/01/08, Causey was in Turkey for 9 days on a trip  paid for ($3,020) by the Rumi Forum for Interfaith Dialogue. This group follows the teachings of Muslim Imam Fethullah Gulen – founder of a “global” social movement. The group appears to operate internationally through partnering organizations. There is a link on their website for board of directors but the names of their directors are absent.


Tags: Arkansas, AR-01, 1st District, 2010 Election, Rick Crawford, Chad Causey, poll, Talk Business
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August 23, 2010 Posted by | Election 2010, polls | 1 Comment

Arkansas 1st Congressional District: Crawford Leads Causey By 16 Points

Arkansas 1st Congressional District

Talkbusiness.net (Aug 22, 2010): Republican cross-winds are swirling at this juncture of the Arkansas election cycle even in traditional Democratic strongholds.  A new Talk Business Poll conducted by Talk Business Research and Hendrix College shows First District Congressional Republican nominee Rick Crawford with a 16-point lead over his Democratic opponent, Chad Causey.

In a survey conducted on Tuesday night, August 17, 2010, Crawford leads Causey 48-32% among 630 likely Arkansas voters in the district. Green Party nominee Ken Adler received 4% of support from those surveyed, while undecided voters stood at 16%.  You can view the full results of the poll and the questions asked at this link.

“This is a truly dramatic result that I believe sets the stage for a very favorable election climate for Republicans in Arkansas.  For Democrats, it is a clear signal that this fall’s election may be the toughest landscape they’ve ever faced in the First,” said Talk Business editor Roby Brock.

“As we did in the Second District, this First District poll is a baseline for November.  I expect the political artillery to be heavy in this contest based on each campaign’s resources and the attention this race will draw nationally,” Brock added.

Due to the unprecedented nature of these results for a Republican nominee, Talk Business conducted a second field poll in the First District on Thursday, August 19, 2010. While our sample size was slightly smaller – 481 likely voter respondents – the results were identical with Republican Rick Crawford polling at 48% and Democrat Chad Causey at 32%. Dr. Jay Barth, with the Hendrix College Department of Politics and International Relations, helped craft and analyze the polls. He offered the following observations from the results:

PRO-REPUBLICAN WINDS This poll shows the breadth and depth of the pro-Republican winds in Arkansas in 2010.  The area covered by CD1 has not elected a Republican to Congress since Reconstruction and a victory here would be extraordinary. Rick Crawford enters the fall campaign with a strong chance of replacing Marion Berry, leading the Congressman’s former chief of staff, Chad Causey, 48-32% with 16% of likely voters undecided and 4% supporting Green Party candidate Ken Adler.

RESOURCE EQUALITY The decision of national Republicans to invest on Crawford’s behalf with spending in the district, announced this past week, appears not to be an attempt to win a long-shot race but instead seems like a legitimate attempt to win a seat that could create a Republican majority in the House of Representatives.  This is a crucial step because it will lessen the expected resource advantage favoring Causey for the fall campaign.

STILL UNKNOWN & UNDEFINED It is important to recognize, however, that – despite their similar size – Crawford’s lead is shown to be more fragile than the lead of Republican Tim Griffin in the Second District.  While the electoral winds are blowing in the Republicans’ direction, significantly more voters are undecided in the First District contest.

Large chunks of the electorate are unable to form an opinion of the two candidates. Just at 45% of the electorate lacks an opinion of each candidate. Thus, the fall campaign will be crucial in shaping the final results.

Republicans could be successful in unfavorably tying Chad Causey to his former boss, incumbent Rep. Marion Berry, and to Washington more generally. The recent news about Crawford’s past bankruptcy is indicative of the type of issue that could shape voters’ perceptions of the Republican as they are getting to know him.

PARTY LOYALTY & INDEPENDENTS Crawford’s lead results, first, from the fact that Republicans – long in the minority in the district – are more unified behind their nominee. 84% of self-identified Republicans support Crawford, while 73% of Democrats presently support Causey.  In particular, Causey is underperforming with African-American voters in the district. Second, and even more important, independents are leaning strongly towards the Republican (54-21% with 20% undecided).

POLL BACKGROUND This poll was conducted by Talk Business Research and Hendrix College. The poll, which has a margin of error of +/- 3.9%, was completed using IVR survey technology on Tuesday, August 17, 2010 among 630 registered Arkansas voters in Congressional District 1 who indicated they were “likely” to vote in the November 2, 2010 general election. 74% of those surveyed have voted in a minimum of 2 of the last 4 general elections. Voters with a less frequent voting history were allowed in the sample to account for younger voters and first-time voters of all ages.

Our weighting assumptions include adjustments for an undersample of minority voters and we have weighted to balance the gender of the district based on 2008 general election returns.

All media outlets are welcome to reprint, reproduce, or rebroadcast information from this poll with proper attribution to Talk Business and Hendrix College.  For interviews, Brock can be reached by email at roby@talkbusiness.net.


Tags: Arkansas, AR-01, 1st District, 2010 Election, Rick Crawford, Chad Causey, poll, Talk Business H/T  ARRA News Service

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August 22, 2010 Posted by | Election 2010, polls | Leave a comment

“I Want Your Money”–Coming this Fall!

Here’s the trailer for the movie that promises to educate voters of the fallacy inherent in the economic policies of Obama and his far left handlers. By contrasting Obama’s philosophy with President Ronald Reagan’s, often using their own words, it should become obvious to anyone with a measurable IQ which president sought to trust the American people with real freedom. Catch it this fall, but here’s a taste…


Tags: I Want Your Money, Obama, Spending, Freedom, Spread the Wealth, Socialism

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August 21, 2010 Posted by | Obama, Socialism | 1 Comment

Pelosi Calls for Investigation of Those Who Oppose Ground Zero Mosque

Nancy Pelosi (D-CA) calls for an investigation of the opposition to the proposed Muslim monument to the 9/11 hijackers who slaughtered 3,000 people on American soil.

This bunch of demented Democrats can’t get any farther out of touch with mainstream America. Remember in November!


Tags: Pelosi, Mosque, Ground Zero, War on Terror, New York, Democrats, November

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August 18, 2010 Posted by | War on Terror | 2 Comments

Christian church blocked from rebuilding at Ground Zero

While President Barack Hussein Obama and Mayor Bloomberg do everything in their power to convince Americans that radical Muslims have a right to build a mosque near the site where 3000+ were slaughtered by their terrorist brothers, the New York Port Authority is blocking the rebuilding of a Greek Orthodox Christian church that was destroyed in the attacks on September 11, 2001.

St. Nicholas Church’s difficulty in getting approvals to rebuild stands in stark contrast to the treatment that the developers of the proposed Cordoba mosque have received. New York City Mayor Mike Bloomberg, state Atty. Gen. Andrew Cuomo, and a raft of city officials have all come out publicly in favor of building the mosque, and the city’s Landmarks and Preservation Commission recently voted unanimously to deny protection to the building currently occupying the site where the mosque is to be built.

Though crushed by the falling towers, government officials (the same ones who are bending over backwards to give the terrorists a viewing platform to gloat from as they gaze at the site where the towers once stood) are demanding the church move from its previous spot and rebuild as a tiny structure that will be dwarfed by the future Islamic memorial to the bloodthirsty murderers who crashed planes into the symbols of American greatness.

Trouble emerged after St. Nicholas announced its plans to build a traditional Greek Orthodox church building, 24,000 square feet in size, topped with a grand dome. Port Authority officials told the church to cut back the size of the building and the height of the proposed dome, limiting it to rising no higher than the World Trade Center memorial.

The mosque is proposed to rise 13 stories, far above the height of the World Trade Center memorial, with no height restrictions imposed.

How can any red-blooded American support this hypocritical discrimination? Anyone who refuses to admit this is nothing more than an attempt to appease the murderous Muhammed worshippers who wish to destroy us is either a liar who wants to see America crushed under the weight of oppressive Islamists or an utter fool.


Tags: Mosque, Obama, War on Terror, World Trade Center, Ground Zero, Religion, First Amendment, Port Authority

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August 17, 2010 Posted by | War on Terror | 2 Comments

Our Tax Bailout Money Finally Creates Jobs – in Mexico

by Curtis Coleman at The New South Conservative

Some of that $50 billion of our tax money that was used to bailout General Motors last year is finally creating jobs – in Mexico. With the U.S. economy losing 131,000 jobs last month, General Motors announced last week that it will invest $500 million to produce a new vehicle and eight-cylinder engines in a plant in northeastern Mexico. The investment in the GM plant in Ramos Arispe, Coahuila state, would generate 390 jobs, according to a company spokesman.

In April, GM announced that it had paid back $8.1 billion in loans it received from the U.S. and Canadian governments. Of that, $6.7 billion went to the U.S. treasury. But U.S. Senator Charles Grassley (R-IA) said in a letter to the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) that a form filed by GM showed that $6.7 billion of the tens of billions the company received was sitting in an escrow account and available to be used for repayment. ”The bottom line seems to be that the TARP loans were ‘repaid’ with other TARP funds in a Treasury escrow account. The TARP loans were not repaid from money GM is earning selling cars, as GM and the administration have claimed in their speeches, press releases and television commercials,” he wrote.

Meanwhile, Ford Motor Company is reportedly having a banner year. Although Sen. Harry Reid (D-NV) claimed recently that Ford “would probably be gone” without the auto bailouts, Ford did not accept any of the billions of dollars in taxpayer-funded bailout money. Instead, Ford decided to make money the free market way, preemptively leveraging its assets and remaining afloat in exchange for debt.

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Tags: Bailouts, Curtis Coleman, Mexico, GM, Government Motors, General Motors, Obama, Stimulus, Waste, Fraud, Abuse, Corruption

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August 9, 2010 Posted by | Bailout | 1 Comment

Missouri Says “No” to ObamaCare

by Philip Klein at The American Spectator

As Democrats in Washington began their drive toward national health care last year, Jane Cunningham, a state senator from St. Louis County, could tell that something was stirring in Missouri.

“I started getting phone calls from constituents that were more concerned than I had ever heard before in my entire decade in the legislature,” Cunningham said in a Tuesday phone interview with TAS. “They were frightened and they were angry and they wanted us to find some kind of relief for them from what the federal government was proposing.”

In response, she got together with other state legislators, and, borrowing language from the American Legislative Exchange Council, sponsored a bill to put a health care ballot measure before voters.

Yesterday, by an overwhelming 71 percent to 29 percent margin, voters in the bellwether state approved the resulting initiative known as Proposition C, which is aimed at protecting Missouri residents from the mandate that will force individuals to purchase health insurance policies approved by the government, or pay a penalty.

“Missouri is the first public referendum on ObamaCare in the nation,” Cunningham said, noting that efforts to shield residents from the affects of ObamaCare are underway — at various stages — in 42 states. Oklahoma and Arizona have similar initiatives on their ballots in November.

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Tags: Missouri, Show Me State, Philip Klein, 10th Amendment, States’ Rights, The American Spectator, Obamacare

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August 5, 2010 Posted by | Health Care | 1 Comment

Feds “can do most anything” to you and me…

…according to California Democrat Rep. Pete Stark.

When asked to explain exactly how the government takeover of health care known as Obamacare is constitutional, and what do the limits of the constitution prevent the federal government from doing to its citizens, Stark replied “the federal government can do most anything in this country.”


Tags: Pete Stark, Constitution, Limited Government, 10th Amendment, Obamacare

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August 3, 2010 Posted by | Constitution, Democrats | Leave a comment

Climate Proposals Threaten Pursuit of Happiness and Justice

By Paul Driessen at Townhall.com

Environmental justice demands that the United States address global warming, the gravest threat facing minority Americans, insist the EPA, Congressional Black Caucus and White House. Are they serious?

The alleged threat pales next to unwed teen motherhood, school dropouts, murder and other crime. But even assuming human carbon dioxide emissions will cause average global temperatures to rise a few degrees more than they have already since the Little Ice Age ended, it is absurd to suggest that any such warming would harm minorities more than policies imposed in the name of preventing climate change.

Human activities have not replaced the complex natural forces that drove climate change throughout Earth’s history. But even if manmade greenhouse gases do contribute to planetary warming, slashing US emissions to zero would bring no benefit, because steadily rising emissions from China, India, Brazil and other rapidly growing economies would almost instantly replace whatever gases we cease emitting.

Most important, fossil fuels power the economic engine that ensures justice and opportunity in America today. Policies that make energy less reliable and affordable reduce business revenues and profits, shrink investment and innovation, imperil economic recovery, and hobble job creation, civil rights, and the pursuit of happiness and the American dream.

Whether they take the form of cap-and-trade, carbon taxes, restrictions on drilling and coal mining, or EPA rules under its claim that carbon dioxide “endangers” human health and welfare, anti-energy policies frustrate the natural desire of poor and minority Americans to improve their lives.

As to coping with higher temperatures, restrictive energy policies send electricity prices skyrocketing, making it harder for low-income households to afford air conditioning, and putting lives at risk. They send poor families back to pre-AC misery of bygone eras, like the 1896 heat wave that killed 1,300 people in New York City’s sweltering tenements. In wintertime, they make heating less affordable, again putting lives at risk.

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Tags: Townhall.com, Paul Driessen, Climate Change, Global Warming, Environment, Civil Rights, Minorities, Poverty

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August 1, 2010 Posted by | Environment | 1 Comment