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Presidential Approval Index hits new lows (again)

Rasmussen’s just released Daily Presidential Tracking Poll presents another first for our teleprompter-dependent President.  Today marks the first day Obama has enjoyed a negative double-digit Presidential Approval Rating!For the third day in a row, his overall approval rating remains below 50%.   Though many other polls still have the President with higher approval numbers, Rasmussen explains many of these polls survey all adults.

Overall, 49% of voters say they at least somewhat approve of the President’s performance. Fifty percent (50%) disapprove. It is important to remember that the Rasmussen Reports job approval ratings are based upon a sample of likely voters. Some other firms base their approval ratings on samples of all adults. President Obama’s numbers are always several points higher in a poll of adults rather than likely voters. That’s because some of the President’s most enthusiastic supporters, such as young adults, are less likely to turn out to vote.

Obama’s plan to force a government takeover of the health care industry may well have been the straw that broke the camel’s back of public support.  As more and more citizen-journalists and other conservative activists continue daily exposing parts of Congress’ bill, more and more Americans learn the truth and see his plan for what it is.  Not a reform of the health care system to benefit patients, but a reform of the system to hand over control of our health care decisions to the bureacrats and politicians in Washington!
Keep up the pressure and remember to call your Congressmen and Senators this weekend.  Let them come to work Monday with overflowing voice- and e-mail boxes.  You can use the links on the right side of this page to find their contact info.

July 26, 2009 Posted by | Health Care, Obama | , , , , , | Leave a comment

Down, down, down he goes…

Is it his insistence on imposing government-run healthcare on a leery populace? Or could it be that calling the cops stupid for arresting his loud mouthed friend?

It doesn’t matter.

Just a few months ago, liberals were digging the grave for the conservative movement.  Certain they’d permanently prevailed on the heels of Obama’s historic election, they set about ramming their Socialist agenda down the throats of all Americans in an attempt to bury conservatism forever.  Using tactics more common among union thugs and other organized crime, they seized control of private industry, spent hundreds of billions on wasteful projects to line the pocket of special interests, and cut the legs from under an already staggering economy.

All of this happened with virtually no support from Republicans in Congress. Liberals everywhere warned Republicans were further alienating themselves in the eyes of the American public, calling the GOP “the party of NO.” Some RINOs trembled with fear while those of us who truly believe conservative principles make our country stronger and more prosperous insisted the path back to victory wasn’t to fall in step with our liberal foes, but to charge headlong into the center of their ranks. Ignoring warnings from Dems and RINOs alike, real conservatives in the Republican party stood our ground and took the fight to the enemy. Rather than retreat we went on offense.

It took a few months, but now we have them on the run! Blue Dog Democrats are feeling the pressure from their constituents and our constant bombardment of their complicity in quadrupling the national deficit to squander our hard-earned money on legislators’ pet pork projects. Harry Reid announced yesterday the Senate would not meet Obama’s mandate to rush a health care bill through Congress by the August recess. Then Obama stepped on his own land mine when he called a good cop stupid. Their battle plan is being shredded and their troops are beginning to desert!

The best of news came today in the form of Rasmussen’s Daily Presidential Tracking Poll. I’ve been following this poll for a couple of months now and until today, Obama had always enjoyed a higher approval than disapproval rating. Today that all changed.

For the first time in his Presidency, more likely voters in America disapprove of his job performance than approve. As of today, 49% approve and 51% disapprove of Obama’s leadership.

It looks like America wasn’t ready to swallow Obama’s “change” after all.

July 24, 2009 Posted by | Obama | , , , , , , , , , | 2 Comments

The Death of Obamacare

As President Obama’s dream of a government run health care system slips away, he’s becoming ever more desperate.

This month we’ve seen poll numbers indicating the American public is becoming more and more uncomfortable with his vision of “change” for America.

Rasmusssen’s Presidential Approval Index turned negative on June 30 and hasn’t seen positive territory since. In the same surveys, the number of Americans who approve of the President’s job performance fell to its lowest point of his presidency.  Even more surprising results appeared yesterday in a Rasmussen poll where respondents were asked who they would vote for if a presidential election were held today between Mitt Romney and President Obama, and again if such election were held between Sarah Palin and Obama.  The hypothetical Romney-Obama race would be a dead heat with 45% of likely voters preferring Romney and an equal number supporting Obama.  Most surprising of all were the results if such an election were held between Obama and Sarah Palin, the now resigned Alaskan governor who was so maligned by the left-wing media.  After months of vicious personal attacks by left-wing (and even RINO) attack dogs, the embattled governor trails the MSM’s messiah by only 6%, with Obama favored by 48% of voters and Palin by 42%.

Today, on the President’s signature issue of health care reform, Gallup released a poll showing 50% disapprove of Obama’s approach while only 44% approve.  Though 74% of Democrats continue to support the President’s plan, only 40% of independents and 11% of Republicans are convinced he knows what he’s doing.  In each of the  four domestic issues rated by respondents, more disapproved of the President’s performance than approved.  Healthcare: 50% disapprove, 44% approve; taxes: 48% disapprove, 45% approve; economy: 49% disapprove, 47% approve; and budget deficit: 55% disapprove, 41% approve.

For a president who, until recently, has been able to get his every wish through Congress, whose own party holds super majorities in both Houses, and was elected in what most considered a landslide, the President’s waning public support is telling.  Especially considering we’re only 6 months into his term.

Obama managed to quadruple the deficit, dramatically increase wasteful spending, and seize control of large segments of the American economy with a strategy of blaming his predecessor.  That may have worked for the first five months, but now the public is beginning to identify the President as culpable for the failings of his policies.  After all, it was the President who pointed out we’d see peak unemployment of 9% if we didn’t ram his “stimulus” through Congress before members even had a chance to read the bill.  Now we see his so-called “stimulus” was nothing more than a liberal’s dream spending bill that actually had a de-stimulating effect.  What else can we infer since unemployment is now worse than it would have been without the “stimulus.”

Recall the President repeatedly claimed there would be no earmarks, no waste in his “stimulus” bill, it would fund shovel ready jobs and provide an immediate jolt to the economy.  Perhaps if Congress would have had time to read the bill, it would have been so.  Three million dollar turtle tunnels and projects that won’t begin until next year may have been caught and culled from the bill.  But it wasn’t to be.  Now the President has tried to convince us that earmarks are good things, Vice-President Biden tells us they knew waste was inevitable, and the waste and abuse is coming to light.

It’s no wonder Americans are losing faith in our President as he tries the same worn out promises to sell his government health care system.  He’s already proved he either doesn’t have a clue what he’s doing or he’s incredibly dishonest.  Either way, Americans are no longer buying his health care plan.

Thank God.

July 22, 2009 Posted by | Health Care, Obama | , , , , , , , | 2 Comments

Free-Falling Obama Approval Rating

A week ago, we saw Rasmussen’s Presidential Approval Index (PAI) reach new lows, and it appeared to us that President Obama’s radical change was becoming difficult to digest for the American electorate.  Polling was suspended for 3 days over the Indpendence Day holiday, but barbecues, fireworks, and family vacations appear to have done little to make the President’s policies more palatable.

Since polling resumed following the holiday break, Obama’s numbers have been on a steep and steady decline.  Today’s poll shows a mere 30% now Strongly Approve and 38% Strongly Disapprove of Obama’s performance.  That sets a new low for Obama’s PAI at -8%.  It’s also the 7th consecutive day the Index has dwelt in negative territory.  Until Obama found himself in this rut, the longest period the PAI remained negative had been 2 days.  The declining overall Approve/Disapprove numbers in the Rasmussen poll are also deteriorating rapidly.  Though the President still enjoys a slight majority of voters generally approving of his job performance, today marks Obama’s lowest point reached since he took office with only 51% of likely voters who approve and 48% disapproving of his handling of the country’s affairs.

Other polls are showing similar trends that indicate the Rasmussen numbers are no anomaly.  Yesterday, a Quinipiac University poll showed Obama’s approval rating plummeting in the key battleground state of Ohio.  Two months ago, 62% of voters in Ohio approved of the President’s job performance and only 31% disapproved.  The latest poll has only 49% approving and 44% disapproving–a drastic 13% swing in two month’s time.  On the economy, more Ohioans now disagree with Obama’s radical policy changes than agree, by a score of 48% to 46%.  In Quinipiac’s May 6th poll these numbers stood at 57% and 36% respectively.

Last month when the President’s PAI began to slip, his Cairo speech to the Muslim world provided a bounce that pushed the Index back into positive territory for a few days.  However, the bad news of results of Obama’s radical policy changes kept coming.  We saw the CBO estimates that Obama’s plan would be far more expensive than we’d been told and would actually cover far fewer of the uninsured, leading to speculate that full coverage of all uninsured Americans would cost more than $3 trillion over the next 10 years.  The President’s foreign policy blunders bore fruit also as North Korea continued its belligerent actions in the face of the unenforceable UN resolution the President proudly held up as evidence that his apologetic, tail-tucking foreign policy put the US in a stronger position with the international community.

Unbelievable, I know, but it gets worse.

As the Iranian regime became emboldened by the new Obama-weakened US, it violently stamped out the flames of a pro-democracy insurrection while Obama went about without a care–eating ice cream and proclaiming he didn’t want to “meddle” in Iranian affairs.  The hypocrisy of our President then quickly became clear when the government of Honduras constitutionally evicted its sitting President for attempting to usurp the Honduran Constitution.  Obama was quick to stand with his newest anti-American pals, Hugo Chavez and the Castro brothers, to “meddle” in Honduran affairs by proclaiming the constitutional actions of the Legislative and Judicial branches a coup de etat–a term generally reserved for unilateral military action to depose a government and install itself or its representative as the de facto government.  In Honduras, the governmental system was left in place, only the would-be leftist dictator was replaced for violating the country’s Constitution.

Then there’s the economy.  The day before the official beginning of the 4th of July holiday for most Americans, the latest unemployment figures were released.  Oh how the administration likely wished many were already away on vacation.  The unemployment rate, already higher than Obama predicted it would have been without passage of his vaunted “stimulus” plan, continued to climb.  As the economy keeps shedding jobs, the President’s credibility with the American electorate continues to crash.  In addition, more and more details of the “stimulus” plan continue to come to light and even the untrained eye is able to see many programs will have no stimulative effect on the economy.

To put it concisely, everyday more Americans are awakening to the fact that we were conned into enacting the largest spending binge in American history for nothing more than ideological purposes.  Promised jobs are not materializing, they’re evaporating.  Our deficit continues to climb with nothing positive to show for our expenditures.  And in light of the obvious failures of his policies thus far, Obama and his cronies continue their fear-mongering cries to garner support of more of his sure-to-fail “reforms.”

Most Americans were willing to give him the benefit of the doubt, most wanted to believe in him and his policies.  But you can’t feed the American electorate excrement and call it chocolate forever.  They just won’t buy it.

July 9, 2009:  PAI = -8

And dropping like a rock.


John Allison III
Cabot, AR
US
Visit MyBlogLog and get a signature like this!

July 9, 2009 Posted by | Obama | , , , , , , , | 4 Comments

Obama Approval Continues Decline

Today’s Rasmussen Daily Presidential Tracking Poll numbers are out and things aren’t looking too rosy for our Socialist President and his policies.  Last month we saw Obama’s Presidential Approval Index* reach zero for the first time since taking office, then go negative.  Today marks yet another first for the President–the first time the Index has remained negative for 3 consecutive days.

After dipping to new lows last month, the President received a boost for several days that sent the Index well into positive territory.  The Index spiked following Obama’s speech to the Muslim world in Cairo early last month and rose as high as +9 immediately after his deceptive announcement that he would implement a pay-as-you-go system in his administration.  But the public couldn’t be fooled long as the true effects of his policies continued to come to light.

The CBO announced his health care plan would cover fewer and cost more than Obama led the country to believe.   Iran erupted in a wave of pro-democracy demonstrations and the President responded with silence, then ambivalence, and then only half-hearted support for the repressed freedom seekers.   These events led to the erosion of the President’s approval and the Index again began slipping.

The bad news for Obama outweighed the events that helped him last month.  The GOP stumbled and Obama’s numbers temporarily recovered when Senator Ensign (R-NV) and Governor Sanford (R-SC) admitted to betraying their wives.  And after ABC donated airtime to help Obama sell his Socialist policies to the American public, the Index perked up a bit for the President.  But these gifts weren’t enough in the end to bring a halt to the downward trend of Americans approval for the Socialist President.

I’ve updated the trend lines based on Rasmussen’s data and you can see the new graphs below.  You can see the Strongly Approve/Disapprove lines have now crossed.  The overall Approve/Disapprove lines have drawn slightly closer together.  Last month’s lines predicted convergence around the 228th day of Obama’s presidency.  This month’s updated lines now indicate those who approve will equal those who disapprove on the 208th day.

With the battle over health care reform coming up and Cap & Trade legislation now in the hands of the Senate, it’s important for conservative Republicans in Congress to keep up the pressure to maintain our momentum.  Though we don’t yet have the upper hand, we’re gaining ground.  Let’s keep it that way.


*Rasmussen’s Presidential Approval Index is calculated by subtracting the percentage of those who Strongly Disapprove of the President’s job performance from those who Strongly Approve.

John Allison III
Cabot, AR
US
Visit MyBlogLog and get a signature like this!     vwt4mk2cb9

July 2, 2009 Posted by | Obama | , , , | 2 Comments

Obama’s Sinking Approval Rating

Yesterday I posted that Rasmussen’s Daily Presidential Tracking Poll found the number of Americans who ‘Strongly Approve’ of Obama’s job performance fell to a new low.  The polling company’s Presidential Approval Index is calculated as the difference between the percentage of Americans who ‘Strongly Approve’ and those who ‘Strongly Disapprove.’  Monday was the first time since Obama took office the index was negative.  Though the ‘Strongly Approve’ number came up one percent today, the index is still negative with 33% strongly approving and 34% strongly disapproving of the President’s performance.  This makes it obvious yesterday’s results weren’t a fluke, now that we see the index in negative territory for two days in a row.

Early in the month, the index reached zero for the first time, but quickly rebounded following Obama’s Cairo speech to the Muslim world.  His rhetoric and promises weren’t enough to hold the numbers for long though as North Korea became evermore belligerent, firing missiles, refusing to honor UN sanctions, and even threatening war against the US.  The Islamic Republic of Iran also took its toll on the President’s ratings following the landslide victory for anti-American President Ahmadinejad in an election his opponents insist was rigged by the council of clerics who really run the terrorist sponsoring nation.  Days of protests by supporters of Ahmadinejad’s opponent, Moustavi, turned violent Saturday after Iran’s Supreme ruler, Ayatollah Khamenei, warned protesters of a crackdown that would result in bloodshed.

Freedom-seeking protesters defied the Ayatollah and the bloodshed began while Obama remained silent, refusing to offer even moral support for the oppressed citizens of the Muslim theocracy.  When he finally did speak out on behalf of the demonstrators, he refused to do so on camera–incredulously clinging to his campaign calls for dialogue with the Iranian rulers who’ve long referred to the US as ‘The Great Satan’–and instead released a three-paragraph statement to the press.  This from a President who’s not shy about asking to stand in front of the lens whenever he seeks to read from a teleprompter to promote his latest attempt to convert our economy to a Socialist system.

It probably didn’t help the President when he decided to slip away and enjoy an ice cream cone while the Iranian supporters of Mousavi, who sought to lower tensions between the US and Iran, died in the streets.   The graphic images broadcast via cell phone on Twitter and YouTube allowed the world to see young men and women murdered, beaten, and dragged from their homes while the American President appeared unconcerned, going about as if the travesty wasn’t even occurring.

Even his domestic policies are now contributing to the decline in the number of Americans who support his Socialist policies.  The President’s health care plan, once expected to pass Congress with relative ease, has suffered possibly mortal wounds in recent days.  Critics are landing blows that must be resonating since even the President’s own party are backing away.  Of course it didn’t help either when last week the non-partisan Congressional Budget Office released its report that found Obama’s plan would only insure about 1/3 of the nation’s uninsured at a whopping cost of $1 trillion.

Add to that the President is now considering new taxes that he campaigned against to help pay for his expensive plan.  Recall that Obama lambasted McCain for supposedly considering a tax on employer paid health insurance premiums during the campaign, but now the President is considering doing just that to pay the astronomical costs associated with his plan to seize control over another 17.7% of the US economy.  He’s set an August deadline for Congress to pass his plan and have it ready for his signature because he knows it won’t pass public scrutiny if allowed to be thoroughly and publicly debated.

Today’s Rasmussen poll is just the latest in a string that are showing a downward trend that may indicate the public is losing patience with the President’s radical reforms.  We recently saw that more Americans call themselves Conservatives than any other ideological political group and that 80% disagree with Obama’s Socialization of the US auto industry.  A majority now say the President has abandoned bipartisanship, though he’s repeatedly called for it from Republicans and campaigned on the idea that he would bring people together.

It’s apparent the President is watching these polls and taking notice, since he’s recently made statements that contradict his actions but pander to dissatisfied Americans.  Obama is so narcissistic, he’s obviously convinced the American people believe him when he claims to support a pay-as-you-go (Paygo) budget so full of loopholes it will allow him and the Democratic Congress to continue their historic deficit spending while claiming to be fiscally responsible.  He expects us to believe he doesn’t want to run private companiies even while he seizes control of them.  But voters can’t be fooled forever.

Obama has enjoyed quite a honeymoon with American voters but, as the recent polls indicate, that may just be coming to an end.  Though he continues to blame most of his problems on Bush, people are realizing it’s Obama’s show now–for better, or worse.

June 22, 2009 Posted by | Foreign Policy | , , , , , , , | 1 Comment

Obama Approval Ratings Reach New Lows

Today’s Daily Presidential Tracking Poll from Rasmussen shows fewer Americans strongly approve of the job the President is doing than at any time since he’s taken office.  His overall job approval ratings haven’t yet reached a new low, but are currently at their previous bottom.  It looks like the Iranian crisis is really taking a toll on the public perception of the effectiveness of his policies.

I posted here the other day when the strongly approve numbers reached their previous low, then the numbers spiked after his speech in Cairo.  But the upward momentum, and favorable impression, was short-lived as the public begins to realize that rhetoric has emboldened hard-line American enemies like North Korea and Iran.  We’ve recently seen other polls too that indicate the winds are changing and things don’t look really good for the President.

It’s late now, so I’ll update charts of trend lines and post them here tomorrow.

June 21, 2009 Posted by | Obama | , , , , , , | 1 Comment

53% say Obama’s “stimulus” hurts economy

According to the latest Rasmussen poll, 53% of Americans believe increasing government spending has an anti-stimulus effect on the economy, hurting instead of helping it.  The poll of 1000 likely voters conducted June 7-8, is more evidence of the trend in recent polls that the American people are beginning to recognize that Obama’s change isn’t what they believed they were voting for last November.  Only 27% remain dedicated, die-hard fans of the President’s stimulus strategy, still clinging to the fallacy that drastic spending, quadrupling the deficit, and enslaving future generations of Americans with debt will somehow revitalize the economy.

The number of Americans who correctly believe tax cuts stimulate the economy continues to grow.  A full 58% accept the evidence history provides and stand on the opposite sides of the fence.  Last month only 55% believed this irrefutable fact.  So in less than a month, Obama’s radical changes to our American way have led 3% to lose faith in his approach to saving the economy and embrace that of his predecessor, the Left’s nemesis President George W. Bush.

Obama recently realized his plan isn’t working, but mistakenly believes it’s because he hasn’t spent enough of the money, or spent it fast enough.  So, he announced he’ll be accelerating the pace of his spending spree–blowing more money faster.  But another recent Rasmussen poll shows Americans don’t think this is such a wise idea.  When asked if the government should cancel the rest of the new government spending in the President’s monstrous $787 billion “stimulus” package, 45% said the administration should stop this madness now vs. only 36% who thought the President should go ahead and waste $787 billion.

When asked in this poll if the tax cuts included in the “stimulus” package should be canceled, only 20% believe the government doesn’t take enough of our money, while a full 55% believe the tax cuts should stay in place.  So again, in this second poll we see a majority of Americans who apparently believe tax cuts stimulate the economy.

These two polls substantiate our report on the developing trend of more people finding Obama’s policies less and less attractive.  Though the President continues on his march toward the Socialization of the US economy, legislators who face re-election next year are sure to be watching these polls and should begin to resist more and more of the President’s “change” as we go forward.  If the GOP plays their cards right and can manage to convince voters they’ve turned the corner and returned to their principle of sound fiscal policy, we just might see an encore of the ’94 voter revolt against the party that has long been (and has now demonstrated that, in spite of their promises, it remains) the tax and spend party.

June 11, 2009 Posted by | Economy, Obama | , , , , , , | 5 Comments

Obama’s Approval Ratings Falling

The latest Rasmussen Presidential Tracking Poll shows Americans are waking up to the fact that President Obama is leading us down the road to ruin.  Though the MSM still showers him with praises and makes every effort to cast him in a good light, his numbers are slipping.  Today’s numbers have 34% strongly approving of the President’s performance and 34% strongly disapproving.  These numbers are a far cry from the 44% to 16% margin he enjoyed the day he took office.

Mike’s America has a great post on this where he digs a little deeper and has some issue-specific numbers as well.  I went ahead and plotted the data in Excel and did the math to find the trend lines to compare.  These first two graphs are just plots of raw data from Rasmussen.  The first compares those who strongly approve vs. those who strongly disapprove for the first 136* days of Obama’s presidency.  The second compares all who approve, not necessarily stronger, vs. all who disapprove over the same period.

I did a regression to find the line that best estimates the data in the two graphs above and plotted these trend lines in the next two graphs.

It’s obvious from the graphs that, if the trends continue, Obama won’t long be enjoying the approval of a majority of Americans.  In fact, around his 228th day, those who approve and those who disapprove of the President’s performance will each make up 50% of the US population unless he can turn things around.  That should be somewhere in the neighborhood of Labor Day.  We’ll keep an eye on Rasmussen’s poll to see what happens.

If he doesn’t put the brakes on this downward plunge in his approval ratings, we can infer the President misjudged the American people’s willingness to accept his Socialist change.

John Allison III
Cabot, AR
US
Visit MyBlogLog and get a signature like this!


*Though this data covers the first 136 days of the Obama presidency, only 135 data points are present because polling was not conducted on Mother’s Day.

June 5, 2009 Posted by | Obama | , , , | 6 Comments